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A Multidisciplinary Think Tank


prediction markets

  • March 21, 2026

    Kalshi vs Polymarket: Two Models for the Future of Prediction Markets

    Kalshi vs Polymarket: Two Models for the Future of Prediction Markets

    As prediction market trading volume surges toward $325 billion in 2026, two radically different companies are competing for dominance. Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated exchange valued at $22 billion, and Polymarket, the crypto-native disruptor backed by the NYSE’s parent company, represent two incompatible theories about what prediction markets are and how they should be governed. This analysis… Continue reading

    Economics & Finance
    kalshi, polymarket, prediction markets

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Recent Posts

  • One Brand Took Years to Build Trust in a Taboo Category. The Other Lost It in 24 Hours: What TENA and Pepsi Reveal About the Real Determinants of Marketing Success
  • The Influence Your Analytics Can’t See: Measuring Dark Social’s Impact on Offline Retail Sales — and What Brands Should Do About It
  • Open Weights and the Open-Closed Choice: What Jensen Huang’s First X Post Argues, and What the Data Shows

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