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Kalshi vs Polymarket: Two Models for the Future of Prediction Markets

As prediction market trading volume surges toward $325 billion in 2026, two radically different companies are competing for dominance. Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated exchange valued at $22 billion, and Polymarket, the crypto-native disruptor backed by the NYSE’s parent company, represent two incompatible theories about what prediction markets are and how they should be governed. This analysis… Continue reading