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AcadeResearch

A Multidisciplinary Think Tank


rate hike odds

  • July 2, 2026

    May JOLTS Beats Consensus by 294,000 as Warsh Uses Sintra to Cement the End of Forward Guidance: An Economic Look at the July 29 Rate Debate

    May JOLTS Beats Consensus by 294,000 as Warsh Uses Sintra to Cement the End of Forward Guidance: An Economic Look at the July 29 Rate Debate

    Job openings held near a two-year high in May 2026, running about 294,000 above consensus, while new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh used his Sintra debut on July 1 to formally reject forward guidance. An economic look at what the labor data shows and how markets are pricing the July 29 rate decision. Continue reading

    Economics & Finance
    Andrew Bailey, BLS labor data, Christine Lagarde, CME FedWatch, core PCE, ECB Sintra Forum, Federal Reserve, fiscal sugar rush, FOMC July 2026, forward guidance, inflation 2 percent target, job openings, JOLTS May 2026, Kevin Warsh, labor market economics, monetary policy, openings unemployed ratio, rate hike odds, Tiff Macklem, yen 40 year low

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Recent Posts

  • One Brand Took Years to Build Trust in a Taboo Category. The Other Lost It in 24 Hours: What TENA and Pepsi Reveal About the Real Determinants of Marketing Success
  • The Influence Your Analytics Can’t See: Measuring Dark Social’s Impact on Offline Retail Sales — and What Brands Should Do About It
  • Open Weights and the Open-Closed Choice: What Jensen Huang’s First X Post Argues, and What the Data Shows

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